Exit-Polling: 2008, 2012, 2016 General Elections

The following charts collate New York Times exit-polling data from the last three presidential election cycles. For those interested in more information about the reliability and significance of this data, a FAQ is available here. Data from 2010 and 2014 midterm elections is available here.

Voting Patterns by Demographic Category

Figure 1	2008	2012	2016
Democrat (Obama)	Republican (McCain)	Democrat (Obama)	Republican (Romney)	Democrat (Clinton)	Republican (Trump)
RACE
White	43	55	39	59	37	58
Black	95	4	93	6	88	8
Hispanic	67	31	71	27	65	29
Asian	62	35	73	26	65	29
Other	66	31	58	38	56	37
GENDER
Men	49	48	45	52	41	53
Women	56	43	55	44	54	42
AGE
18-29	66	32	60	37	55	37
30-44	52	46	52	45	50	42
45-64	50	49	47	51	44	53
65+	45	53	44	56	45	53
POLITICAL IDENTITY
Liberal	89	10	86	11	84	10
Moderate	60	39	56	41	52	41
Conservative	20	78	17	82	15	81
Democrat	89	10	92	7	89	9
Republican	9	90	6	93	7	90
Independent	52	44	45	50	42	48
RELIGION
Protestant	45	54	42	57	39	58
Catholic	54	45	50	48	45	52
Other faith	74	22	74	23	62	29
No faith	75	23	70	26	68	26
EDUCATION
No College	52	46	51	47	45	51
Some Col	51	47	49	48	43	52
Col Grad	50	48	47	51	49	45
PostGrad	58	40	55	42	58	37
INCOME
Under 30	65	32	63	35	53	41
30-49.9	55	43	57	42	51	42
50-99	49	49	46	52	46	50
100-199	48	51	44	54	47	48
200+	52	46	44	54	48	49

 

Share of the Electorate by Demographic Category

Figure 2	2008	2012	2016
RACE
White	74	72	70
Black	13	13	12
Hispanic	9	10	11
Asian	2	3	4
Other	2	2	3
GENDER
Men	47	47	48
Women	53	53	52
AGE
18-29	18	19	19
30-44	29	27	25
45-64	37	38	40
65+	16	16	15
POLITICAL IDENTITY
Liberal	22	25	26
Moderate	44	41	39
Conservative	34	35	35
Democrat	39	38	37
Republican	32	32	33
Independent	29	29	31
RELIGION
Protestant	54	53	52
Catholic	27	25	23
Other faith	6	7	8
No faith	12	12	15
EDUCATION
No College	24	24	18
Some Col	31	29	32
Col Grad	28	29	32
PostGrad	17	18	18
INCOME
Under 30	18	20	17
30-49.9	19	21	19
50-99	36	31	31
100-199	20	21	24
200+	6	7	10

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