An Emerging Democratic Majority? Don’t Count on It.

Exit-Polling: 2006, 2010, 2014 Midterm Elections

The following charts collate New York Times exit-polling data from the last two midterm election cycles. For those interested in more information about the reliability and significance of this data, a FAQ is available here. Data from the 2008, 2012 and 2016 presidential elections is available here.

Voting Patterns by Demographic Category

Figure 3

2006

2010

2014

Democrat

RepublicanDemocratRepublicanDemocrat

Republican

RACE

White

48

52386238

62

Black

89

1191990

10

Hispanic

74

26663463

37

Asian

63

37594149

51

GENDER

Men

52

48435742

58

Women

56

44495152

48

AGE

18-29

61

39584255

45

30-44

54

46485251

49

45-59

54

46465445

55

60+

52

48425844

56

POLITICAL IDENTITY

Liberal

89

1192888

12

Moderate

61

39574354

46

Conservative

20

80148613

87

Democrat

93

793793

7

Republican

8

924965

95

Independent

59

41415944

56

RELIGION

Protestant

45

55396138

62

Catholic

56

44455545

55

EDUCATION

No H.S.

64

36613955

45

H.S.

56

44465446

54

Some Col

52

48445645

55

Col Grad

50

50425845

55

PostGrad

59

41524854

46

INCOME

Under 30

65

35574360

40

30-49.9

57

43524852

48

50-99

51

49455544

56

100+

48

52435742

58

Share of the Electorate by Demographic Category

Figure 4200620102014

RACE

White807875
Black101012
Hispanic688
Asian213
GENDER
Men484749
Women525351
AGE
18-29121113
30-44242222
45-60343332
60+293434
POLITICAL IDENTITY
Liberal202023
Moderate473840
Conservative324237
Democrat393636
Republican363637
Independent252728
RELIGION
Protestant555453
Catholic262524
EDUCATION
No H.S.392
H.S.211918
Some Col313029
Col Grad272831
PostGrad182020
INCOME
Under 30191716
30-49.9211920
50-99383734
100+232730

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