Exit-Polling: 2006, 2010, 2014 Midterm Elections
The following charts collate New York Times exit-polling data from the last two midterm election cycles. For those interested in more information about the reliability and significance of this data, a FAQ is available here. Data from the 2008, 2012 and 2016 presidential elections is available here.
Voting Patterns by Demographic Category
Figure 3 | 2010 | |||||
Democrat | Republican | Democrat | Republican | Democrat |
Republican | |
RACE | ||||||
White |
48 | 52 | 38 | 62 | 38 |
62 |
Black |
89 | 11 | 91 | 9 | 90 |
10 |
Hispanic |
74 | 26 | 66 | 34 | 63 |
37 |
Asian |
63 | 37 | 59 | 41 | 49 |
51 |
GENDER | ||||||
Men |
52 | 48 | 43 | 57 | 42 |
58 |
Women |
56 | 44 | 49 | 51 | 52 |
48 |
AGE | ||||||
18-29 |
61 | 39 | 58 | 42 | 55 |
45 |
30-44 |
54 | 46 | 48 | 52 | 51 |
49 |
45-59 |
54 | 46 | 46 | 54 | 45 |
55 |
60+ |
52 | 48 | 42 | 58 | 44 |
56 |
POLITICAL IDENTITY | ||||||
Liberal |
89 | 11 | 92 | 8 | 88 |
12 |
Moderate |
61 | 39 | 57 | 43 | 54 |
46 |
Conservative |
20 | 80 | 14 | 86 | 13 |
87 |
Democrat |
93 | 7 | 93 | 7 | 93 |
7 |
Republican |
8 | 92 | 4 | 96 | 5 |
95 |
Independent |
59 | 41 | 41 | 59 | 44 |
56 |
RELIGION | ||||||
Protestant |
45 | 55 | 39 | 61 | 38 |
62 |
Catholic |
56 | 44 | 45 | 55 | 45 |
55 |
EDUCATION | ||||||
No H.S. |
64 | 36 | 61 | 39 | 55 |
45 |
H.S. |
56 | 44 | 46 | 54 | 46 |
54 |
Some Col |
52 | 48 | 44 | 56 | 45 |
55 |
Col Grad |
50 | 50 | 42 | 58 | 45 |
55 |
PostGrad |
59 | 41 | 52 | 48 | 54 |
46 |
INCOME | ||||||
Under 30 |
65 | 35 | 57 | 43 | 60 |
40 |
30-49.9 |
57 | 43 | 52 | 48 | 52 |
48 |
50-99 |
51 | 49 | 45 | 55 | 44 |
56 |
100+ |
48 | 52 | 43 | 57 | 42 |
58 |
Share of the Electorate by Demographic Category
Figure 4 | 2006 | 2010 | 2014 |
RACE | |||
White | 80 | 78 | 75 |
Black | 10 | 10 | 12 |
Hispanic | 6 | 8 | 8 |
Asian | 2 | 1 | 3 |
GENDER | |||
Men | 48 | 47 | 49 |
Women | 52 | 53 | 51 |
AGE | |||
18-29 | 12 | 11 | 13 |
30-44 | 24 | 22 | 22 |
45-60 | 34 | 33 | 32 |
60+ | 29 | 34 | 34 |
POLITICAL IDENTITY | |||
Liberal | 20 | 20 | 23 |
Moderate | 47 | 38 | 40 |
Conservative | 32 | 42 | 37 |
Democrat | 39 | 36 | 36 |
Republican | 36 | 36 | 37 |
Independent | 25 | 27 | 28 |
RELIGION | |||
Protestant | 55 | 54 | 53 |
Catholic | 26 | 25 | 24 |
EDUCATION | |||
No H.S. | 3 | 9 | 2 |
H.S. | 21 | 19 | 18 |
Some Col | 31 | 30 | 29 |
Col Grad | 27 | 28 | 31 |
PostGrad | 18 | 20 | 20 |
INCOME | |||
Under 30 | 19 | 17 | 16 |
30-49.9 | 21 | 19 | 20 |
50-99 | 38 | 37 | 34 |
100+ | 23 | 27 | 30 |